Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 12:30 • Stadio Nicola De Simone
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.56) 0.83 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.1% 39.8% 43.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.1%
0 - 1
24.0%
1 - 0
11.9%
Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siracusa 0 29.1% 24.0% 9.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.9% 9.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSiracusaSorrento
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack17%42%
Defense25%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Siracusa Sorrento
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%0%13%0%25%13%
Draws0%0%0%75%25%50%
Loses75%100%88%25%50%38%

Form: Siracusa: LLLLLWLL • Sorrento: DLLLDDWD

League goals

Metric Siracusa Sorrento
HATHAT
GF total314426
GF avg0.80.30.51.00.50.8
GA total7815538
GA avg1.82.01.91.30.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSiracusaSorrento
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%100%50%50%
1.513%63%13%38%
2.50%25%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSiracusaSorrento
HATHAT
Clean sheets000224
Failed to score235224

Penalties

MetricSiracusaSorrento
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSiracusaSorrento
Wins11
Draws02
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1——0-1
Biggest losses0-33-11-22-1
Goals For2131
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricSiracusaSorrento
Form33%67%
Att29%71%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total33.0%67.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sorrento and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Unibet
Draw3.26 @ Pinnacle
Away3.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Siracusa = 0.41 (league 1.56), Sorrento = 0.83 (league 1.09)

Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siracusa 0 29.1% 24.0% 9.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.9% 9.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.1% · Draw 39.8% · Away win 43.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1