Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 10:30 • Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.53) 2.37 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.2% 18.4% 62.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Salernitana
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Monopoli 0 3.1% 7.3% 8.7% 6.8% 4.1% 1.9%
1 3.4% 8.1% 9.6% 7.6% 4.5% 2.1%
2 1.9% 4.5% 5.3% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2%
3 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSS MonopoliSalernitana
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack27%67%
Defense80%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SS Monopoli Salernitana
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins25%50%38%80%67%75%
Draws50%25%38%0%33%13%
Loses25%25%25%20%0%13%

Form: SS Monopoli: DWLWWDLD • Salernitana: WWWWWLDW

League goals

Metric SS Monopoli Salernitana
HATHAT
GF total5389615
GF avg1.30.81.01.82.01.9
GA total55106410
GA avg1.31.31.31.21.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSS MonopoliSalernitana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%100%75%
1.538%38%75%38%
2.50%13%13%13%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSS MonopoliSalernitana
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricSS MonopoliSalernitana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSS MonopoliSalernitana
Wins25
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-21-2
Biggest losses0-24-02-3
Goals For2232
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricSS MonopoliSalernitana
Form44%56%
Att29%71%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Winner : Salernitana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.23 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SS Monopoli = 1.11 (league 1.53), Salernitana = 2.37 (league 1.10)

Salernitana
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Monopoli 0 3.1% 7.3% 8.7% 6.8% 4.1% 1.9%
1 3.4% 8.1% 9.6% 7.6% 4.5% 2.1%
2 1.9% 4.5% 5.3% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2%
3 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.2% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 62.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1