Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 12:30 • Stadio Pino Zaccheria
Match Finished
0 - 3
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.53) 1.91 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.1% 21.6% 61.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.0%
0 - 2
11.5%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Foggia 0 6.3% 12.0% 11.5% 7.3% 3.5% 1.3%
1 5.4% 10.3% 9.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1%
2 2.3% 4.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFoggiaCrotone
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack29%71%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Foggia Crotone
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins33%0%13%40%67%50%
Draws67%40%50%20%33%25%
Loses0%60%38%40%0%25%

Form: Foggia: LWLDDDLD • Crotone: LWDDWWLW

League goals

Metric Foggia Crotone
HATHAT
GF total3256915
GF avg1.00.40.61.23.01.9
GA total21012347
GA avg0.72.01.50.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFoggiaCrotone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%75%50%
1.50%25%63%25%
2.50%13%38%13%
3.50%13%13%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFoggiaCrotone
HATHAT
Clean sheets112314
Failed to score033202

Penalties

MetricFoggiaCrotone
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFoggiaCrotone
Wins12
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-03-00-4
Biggest losses6-01-2
Goals For1134
Goals Against1623

Model comparison

MetricFoggiaCrotone
Form29%71%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total37.5%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Crotone

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.85 @ Unibet
Away1.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Foggia = 0.85 (league 1.53), Crotone = 1.91 (league 1.10)

Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Foggia 0 6.3% 12.0% 11.5% 7.3% 3.5% 1.3%
1 5.4% 10.3% 9.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1%
2 2.3% 4.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 61.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1