Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 12:30 • Stadio Giuseppe Capozza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.55) 0.46 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.4% 29.9% 13.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.6%
0 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Audace Cerignola
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casarano 0 18.0% 8.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.6% 10.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 6.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasaranoAudace Cerignola
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack100%33%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casarano Audace Cerignola
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins50%50%50%20%33%25%
Draws50%25%38%60%33%50%
Loses0%25%13%20%33%25%

Form: Casarano: DLWWWDDW • Audace Cerignola: DDWLDWDL

League goals

Metric Casarano Audace Cerignola
HATHAT
GF total61016639
GF avg1.52.52.01.21.01.1
GA total21012549
GA avg0.52.51.51.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasaranoAudace Cerignola
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%50%63%
1.575%38%38%50%
2.538%25%25%0%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasaranoAudace Cerignola
HATHAT
Clean sheets314213
Failed to score101224

Penalties

MetricCasaranoAudace Cerignola
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCasaranoAudace Cerignola
Wins31
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-12-3
Biggest losses—6-21-22-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against2622

Model comparison

MetricCasaranoAudace Cerignola
Form69%31%
Att76%24%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h25%75%
Goals44%56%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Casarano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casarano = 1.26 (league 1.55), Audace Cerignola = 0.46 (league 1.09)

Audace Cerignola
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casarano 0 18.0% 8.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.6% 10.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 6.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.4% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 13.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1