Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 12:30 • Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.53) 1.31 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.1% 24.9% 32.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Casertana
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Picerno 0 5.8% 7.6% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.9% 11.7% 7.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 9.0% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ PicernoCasertana
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack36%21%
Defense29%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Picerno Casertana
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%50%25%38%
Draws50%25%38%25%25%25%
Loses25%50%38%25%50%38%

Form: AZ Picerno: DDWLLDWL • Casertana: WLWLDDWL

League goals

Metric AZ Picerno Casertana
HATHAT
GF total74117310
GF avg1.81.01.41.80.81.3
GA total78157512
GA avg1.82.01.91.81.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ PicernoCasertana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%75%88%
1.563%75%25%50%
2.50%13%25%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ PicernoCasertana
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricAZ PicernoCasertana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAZ PicernoCasertana
Wins11
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-10-1
Biggest losses1-23-00-32-0
Goals For2231
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricAZ PicernoCasertana
Form44%56%
Att63%38%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.3%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : AZ Picerno or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.86 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ Picerno = 1.53 (league 1.53), Casertana = 1.31 (league 1.10)

Casertana
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Picerno 0 5.8% 7.6% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.9% 11.7% 7.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 9.0% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 32.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1