Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:30 • Stadio Domenico Monterisi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.53) 0.91 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.2% 28.8% 26.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Cavese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Audace Cerignola 0 11.4% 10.4% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.1% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.2% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAudace CerignolaCavese
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack33%33%
Defense42%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Audace Cerignola Cavese
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins20%25%22%0%20%11%
Draws60%25%44%25%20%22%
Loses20%50%33%75%60%67%

Form: Audace Cerignola: DDWLDWDLL • Cavese: DLLDLLWLL

League goals

Metric Audace Cerignola Cavese
HATHAT
GF total639257
GF avg1.20.81.00.51.00.8
GA total57126814
GA avg1.01.81.31.51.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAudace CerignolaCavese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%67%44%78%
1.533%56%33%56%
2.522%11%0%22%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAudace CerignolaCavese
HATHAT
Clean sheets213022
Failed to score235325

Penalties

MetricAudace CerignolaCavese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAudace CerignolaCavese
Wins11
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-30-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-23-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricAudace CerignolaCavese
Form63%38%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total62.6%37.6%

Advice: Double chance : Audace Cerignola or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Dafabet
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away4.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.84 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Audace Cerignola = 1.26 (league 1.53), Cavese = 0.91 (league 1.10)

Cavese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Audace Cerignola 0 11.4% 10.4% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.1% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.2% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.2% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 26.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1