Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:30 • Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.52) 1.45 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.4% 26.6% 59.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.1%
0 - 2
14.6%
0 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Cosenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sorrento 0 13.9% 20.1% 14.6% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7%
1 7.3% 10.6% 7.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 1.9% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSorrentoCosenza
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack45%82%
Defense73%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sorrento Cosenza
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins0%40%22%50%40%44%
Draws75%20%44%0%60%33%
Loses25%40%33%50%0%22%

Form: Sorrento: DLLLDDWDW • Cosenza: DLDWDWWWL

League goals

Metric Sorrento Cosenza
HATHAT
GF total43710616
GF avg1.00.60.82.51.21.8
GA total5386410
GA avg1.30.60.91.50.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSorrentoCosenza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%44%89%78%
1.511%33%44%33%
2.511%11%22%0%
3.50%0%22%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSorrentoCosenza
HATHAT
Clean sheets235022
Failed to score224011

Penalties

MetricSorrentoCosenza
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSorrentoCosenza
Wins13
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-14-11-2
Biggest losses1-22-11-2—
Goals For3142
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricSorrentoCosenza
Form47%53%
Att36%64%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total43.8%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cosenza

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away1.95 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.79 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sorrento = 0.53 (league 1.52), Cosenza = 1.45 (league 1.08)

Cosenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sorrento 0 13.9% 20.1% 14.6% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7%
1 7.3% 10.6% 7.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 1.9% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.4% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 59.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1