Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:30 • Stadio Giuseppe Capozza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.36 (league 1.53) 0.15 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
83.9% 11.2% 1.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
22.7%
1 - 0
19.3%
3 - 0
17.9%
Score & goals probability table
Foggia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casarano 0 8.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.7% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.9% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasaranoFoggia
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack100%27%
Defense55%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casarano Foggia
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins60%50%56%25%0%11%
Draws40%25%33%50%40%44%
Loses0%25%11%25%60%44%

Form: Casarano: DLWWWDDWW • Foggia: LWLDDDLDL

League goals

Metric Casarano Foggia
HATHAT
GF total91019325
GF avg1.82.52.10.80.40.6
GA total2101251015
GA avg0.42.51.31.32.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasaranoFoggia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%44%56%78%
1.578%33%0%33%
2.544%22%0%22%
3.50%11%0%11%
4.50%11%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasaranoFoggia
HATHAT
Clean sheets415112
Failed to score101134

Penalties

MetricCasaranoFoggia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCasaranoFoggia
Wins31
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-31-0
Biggest losses6-20-36-0
Goals For3311
Goals Against2636

Model comparison

MetricCasaranoFoggia
Form79%21%
Att82%18%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution95%5%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total76.8%23.2%

Advice: Winner : Casarano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Betano
Draw4.30 @ Dafabet
Away6.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casarano = 2.36 (league 1.53), Foggia = 0.15 (league 1.10)

Foggia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casarano 0 8.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.7% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.9% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 83.9% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 1.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1