Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 12:30 • Stadio Angelo Massimino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.53) 0.98 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.7% 21.4% 18.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
10.3%
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Salernitana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 5.2% 5.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.3% 10.1% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 10.0% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.6% 6.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCataniaSalernitana
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack67%100%
Defense89%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Catania Salernitana
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%40%56%80%75%78%
Draws25%40%33%0%25%11%
Loses0%20%11%20%0%11%

Form: Catania: WWWLDDDWW • Salernitana: WWWWWLDWW

League goals

Metric Catania Salernitana
HATHAT
GF total126189716
GF avg3.01.22.01.81.81.8
GA total0556410
GA avg0.01.00.61.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCataniaSalernitana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%22%100%67%
1.544%11%67%33%
2.533%11%11%11%
3.522%11%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCataniaSalernitana
HATHAT
Clean sheets437213
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricCataniaSalernitana
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricCataniaSalernitana
Wins35
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-33-21-2
Biggest losses4-12-3
Goals For6332
Goals Against0432

Model comparison

MetricCataniaSalernitana
Form47%53%
Att38%63%
Def89%11%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.0%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Catania or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Dafabet
Away3.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.55 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Catania = 1.97 (league 1.53), Salernitana = 0.98 (league 1.10)

Salernitana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 5.2% 5.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.3% 10.1% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 10.0% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.6% 6.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.7% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1