Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 12:30 • Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.68 (league 1.56) 0.55 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.6% 6.3% 2.4%
best score tips
3 - 0
12.1%
4 - 0
11.1%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Potenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benevento 0 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.9% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 6.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.1% 6.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBeneventoPotenza
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack83%50%
Defense75%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Benevento Potenza
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins100%40%67%40%25%33%
Draws0%20%11%60%25%44%
Loses0%40%22%0%50%22%

Form: Benevento: WWLWWDWLW • Potenza: WDLDWLWDD

League goals

Metric Benevento Potenza
HATHAT
GF total107176814
GF avg2.51.41.91.22.01.6
GA total1563912
GA avg0.31.00.70.62.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBeneventoPotenza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%78%56%
1.578%11%56%56%
2.522%0%22%22%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBeneventoPotenza
HATHAT
Clean sheets314404
Failed to score022202

Penalties

MetricBeneventoPotenza
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBeneventoPotenza
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-02-3
Biggest losses—1-0—3-2
Goals For4333
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricBeneventoPotenza
Form56%44%
Att63%38%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total63.8%36.3%

Advice: Winner : Benevento

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Superbet
Draw4.60 @ Dafabet
Away7.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Benevento = 3.68 (league 1.56), Potenza = 0.55 (league 1.09)

Potenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benevento 0 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.9% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 6.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.1% 6.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.6% · Draw 6.3% · Away win 2.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1