Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Arechi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.55) 1.10 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.1% 28.7% 34.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.1%
0 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Casertana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 10.5% 11.5% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.1% 13.3% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.0% 7.7% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalernitanaCasertana
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack42%26%
Defense53%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salernitana Casertana
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins80%60%70%60%40%50%
Draws0%20%10%20%20%20%
Loses20%20%20%20%40%30%

Form: Salernitana: WWWWWLDWWL • Casertana: WLWLDDWLWW

League goals

Metric Salernitana Casertana
HATHAT
GF total97168513
GF avg1.81.41.61.61.01.3
GA total66127512
GA avg1.21.21.21.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalernitanaCasertana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%70%80%70%
1.560%40%30%40%
2.510%10%20%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalernitanaCasertana
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricSalernitanaCasertana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSalernitanaCasertana
Wins51
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-23-10-2
Biggest losses2-32-00-32-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricSalernitanaCasertana
Form41%59%
Att62%38%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total46.8%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Casertana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.85 @ Dafabet
Away5.86 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Salernitana = 1.16 (league 1.55), Casertana = 1.10 (league 1.09)

Casertana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 10.5% 11.5% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.1% 13.3% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.0% 7.7% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.1% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 34.0%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1