Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.55) 1.02 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 27.0% 27.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.4%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Latina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sorrento 0 8.9% 9.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.7% 6.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSorrentoLatina
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack54%23%
Defense62%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sorrento Latina
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins0%40%20%33%25%30%
Draws80%20%50%17%50%30%
Loses20%40%30%50%25%40%

Form: Sorrento: DLLLDDWDWD • Latina: WLLDLWDWDL

League goals

Metric Sorrento Latina
HATHAT
GF total639336
GF avg1.20.60.90.50.80.6
GA total73104711
GA avg1.40.61.00.71.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSorrentoLatina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%50%50%50%
1.520%40%10%20%
2.510%10%0%10%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSorrentoLatina
HATHAT
Clean sheets235325
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricSorrentoLatina
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSorrentoLatina
Wins11
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-11-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-11-26-0
Goals For3112
Goals Against3226

Model comparison

MetricSorrentoLatina
Form53%47%
Att70%30%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sorrento or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away3.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sorrento = 1.39 (league 1.55), Latina = 1.02 (league 1.09)

Latina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sorrento 0 8.9% 9.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.7% 6.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 27.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1