Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Alberto Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.54) 1.53 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.5% 25.6% 48.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 7.7% 11.7% 9.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
1 7.9% 12.2% 9.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.1% 6.3% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasertanaCatania
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack33%53%
Defense67%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 10 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casertana Catania
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%33%45%83%40%64%
Draws20%17%18%17%40%27%
Loses20%50%36%0%20%9%

Form: Casertana: WLWLDDWLWWL • Catania: WWWLDDDWWWW

League goals

Metric Casertana Catania
HATHAT
GF total861415621
GF avg1.61.01.32.51.21.9
GA total7714055
GA avg1.41.21.30.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasertanaCatania
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%73%82%18%
1.527%45%45%9%
2.518%9%27%9%
3.50%0%18%9%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasertanaCatania
HATHAT
Clean sheets123639
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricCasertanaCatania
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricCasertanaCatania
Wins23
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-26-00-3
Biggest losses0-32-0—4-1
Goals For3263
Goals Against3204

Model comparison

MetricCasertanaCatania
Form41%59%
Att38%62%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h15%85%
Goals15%85%
Total29.8%70.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Catania

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ 188Bet
Away2.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.26 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casertana = 1.04 (league 1.54), Catania = 1.53 (league 1.10)

Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 7.7% 11.7% 9.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
1 7.9% 12.2% 9.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.1% 6.3% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.5% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 48.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1