Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.71 (league 1.55) 2.38 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.8% 10.2% 11.4%
best score tips
4 - 2
4.8%
5 - 2
4.6%
3 - 2
4.1%
Score & goals probability table
Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosenza 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
2 0.9% 2.2% 2.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6%
3 1.5% 3.5% 4.1% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9%
4 1.7% 4.1% 4.8% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1%
5 1.6% 3.8% 4.6% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCosenzaCasarano
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack82%73%
Defense45%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cosenza Casarano
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins60%29%42%43%40%42%
Draws0%71%42%29%20%25%
Loses40%0%17%29%40%33%

Form: Cosenza: DLDWDWWWLDWD • Casarano: DLWWWDDWWLLL

League goals

Metric Cosenza Casarano
HATHAT
GF total13922101121
GF avg2.61.31.81.42.21.8
GA total671371421
GA avg1.21.01.11.02.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCosenzaCasarano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%75%83%58%
1.550%33%58%50%
2.525%0%33%33%
3.517%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCosenzaCasarano
HATHAT
Clean sheets123415
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricCosenzaCasarano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCosenzaCasarano
Wins33
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-00-3
Biggest losses1-2—1-36-2
Goals For4233
Goals Against2236

Model comparison

MetricCosenzaCasarano
Form57%43%
Att53%47%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.3%40.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Cosenza and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away4.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ SBO
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cosenza = 4.71 (league 1.55), Casarano = 2.38 (league 1.11)

Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosenza 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
2 0.9% 2.2% 2.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6%
3 1.5% 3.5% 4.1% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9%
4 1.7% 4.1% 4.8% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1%
5 1.6% 3.8% 4.6% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.8% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 11.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1