Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Giuseppe Capozza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.54) 1.19 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.2% 28.5% 38.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casarano 0 10.3% 12.2% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasaranoCatania
Played55
Form20%87%
Attack60%100%
Defense0%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casarano Catania
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins43%33%38%86%33%62%
Draws29%17%23%14%50%31%
Loses29%50%38%0%17%8%

Form: Casarano: DLWWWDDWWLLLL • Catania: WWWLDDDWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Casarano Catania
HATHAT
GF total10122217825
GF avg1.42.01.72.41.31.9
GA total71825077
GA avg1.03.01.90.01.20.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasaranoCatania
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%62%85%23%
1.554%54%54%15%
2.531%38%23%8%
3.50%23%15%8%
4.50%8%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasaranoCatania
HATHAT
Clean sheets4157310
Failed to score202112

Penalties

MetricCasaranoCatania
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricCasaranoCatania
Wins34
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-36-00-3
Biggest losses1-36-2—4-1
Goals For3363
Goals Against3604

Model comparison

MetricCasaranoCatania
Form19%81%
Att38%63%
Def13%87%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total29.5%70.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Catania

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away2.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casarano = 1.09 (league 1.54), Catania = 1.19 (league 1.10)

Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casarano 0 10.3% 12.2% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.2% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 38.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1