Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Alberto Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.55) 1.41 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.1% 23.5% 31.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 4.4% 6.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.5% 10.6% 7.5% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.1% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasertanaAtalanta II
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack47%79%
Defense63%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.815 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casertana Atalanta II
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%38%47%50%29%40%
Draws29%25%27%25%14%20%
Loses14%38%27%25%57%40%

Form: Casertana: WLWLDDWLWWLDDWW • Atalanta II: LWDLLLLDWWWWLDW

League goals

Metric Casertana Atalanta II
HATHAT
GF total1392219827
GF avg1.91.11.52.41.11.8
GA total1091991019
GA avg1.41.11.31.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasertanaAtalanta II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%80%60%87%
1.540%40%47%40%
2.520%7%27%0%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasertanaAtalanta II
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score112246

Penalties

MetricCasertanaAtalanta II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCasertanaAtalanta II
Wins24
Draws21
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-26-22-4
Biggest losses0-32-01-22-0
Goals For3264
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricCasertanaAtalanta II
Form44%56%
Att38%63%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.3%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atalanta II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.36 @ Pinnacle
Away2.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casertana = 1.72 (league 1.55), Atalanta II = 1.41 (league 1.09)

Atalanta II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 4.4% 6.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.5% 10.6% 7.5% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.1% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.1% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 31.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1