Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.55) 1.54 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.5% 23.6% 35.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Benevento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosenza 0 4.2% 6.5% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.9% 10.6% 8.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCosenzaBenevento
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack73%60%
Defense73%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cosenza Benevento
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins67%38%50%86%43%64%
Draws0%63%36%14%14%14%
Loses33%0%14%0%43%21%

Form: Cosenza: DLDWDWWWLDWDWW • Benevento: WWLWWDWLWWLDWW

League goals

Metric Cosenza Benevento
HATHAT
GF total171027161026
GF avg2.81.31.92.31.41.9
GA total7714369
GA avg1.20.91.00.40.90.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCosenzaBenevento
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%71%79%57%
1.550%29%71%7%
2.529%0%29%0%
3.521%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCosenzaBenevento
HATHAT
Clean sheets134426
Failed to score011033

Penalties

MetricCosenzaBenevento
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCosenzaBenevento
Wins32
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-24-00-3
Biggest losses1-2——1-0
Goals For4243
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricCosenzaBenevento
Form52%48%
Att55%45%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h71%29%
Goals50%50%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Cosenza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cosenza = 1.63 (league 1.55), Benevento = 1.54 (league 1.09)

Benevento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosenza 0 4.2% 6.5% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.9% 10.6% 8.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 35.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1