Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.55) 1.91 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.2% 22.0% 57.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
10.5%
1 - 1
10.4%
0 - 2
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Picerno 0 5.5% 10.5% 10.0% 6.4% 3.0% 1.2%
1 5.4% 10.4% 9.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.2%
2 2.7% 5.2% 4.9% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
3 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ PicernoCatania
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack67%50%
Defense0%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Picerno Catania
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins14%25%20%88%29%60%
Draws43%13%27%13%43%27%
Loses43%63%53%0%29%13%

Form: AZ Picerno: DDWLLDWLLLLDLLW • Catania: WWWLDDDWWWWDWLW

League goals

Metric AZ Picerno Catania
HATHAT
GF total10102018826
GF avg1.41.31.32.31.11.7
GA total131932088
GA avg1.92.42.10.01.10.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ PicernoCatania
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%93%80%27%
1.553%80%47%13%
2.50%20%20%7%
3.50%7%13%7%
4.50%7%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ PicernoCatania
HATHAT
Clean sheets0118311
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricAZ PicernoCatania
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricAZ PicernoCatania
Wins14
Draws23
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-26-00-3
Biggest losses0-26-2—4-1
Goals For2263
Goals Against2604

Model comparison

MetricAZ PicernoCatania
Form29%71%
Att57%43%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total36.8%63.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Catania

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away1.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ Picerno = 0.99 (league 1.55), Catania = 1.91 (league 1.09)

Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Picerno 0 5.5% 10.5% 10.0% 6.4% 3.0% 1.2%
1 5.4% 10.4% 9.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.2%
2 2.7% 5.2% 4.9% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
3 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.2% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 57.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1