Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.79 (league 1.55) 1.15 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.1% 15.4% 13.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.4% 6.3% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.6% 8.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 7.0% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.9% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.7% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPotenzaCasarano
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack55%64%
Defense27%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Potenza Casarano
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%13%33%50%43%47%
Draws43%25%33%25%14%20%
Loses0%63%33%25%43%33%

Form: Potenza: WDLDWLWDDLLWLWD • Casarano: DLWWWDDWWLLLLWW

League goals

Metric Potenza Casarano
HATHAT
GF total11920111526
GF avg1.61.11.31.42.11.7
GA total4182271926
GA avg0.62.31.50.92.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePotenzaCasarano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%87%60%
1.547%53%53%47%
2.520%27%33%33%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPotenzaCasarano
HATHAT
Clean sheets505516
Failed to score235202

Penalties

MetricPotenzaCasarano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPotenzaCasarano
Wins13
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-00-3
Biggest losses—3-01-36-2
Goals For3333
Goals Against3336

Model comparison

MetricPotenzaCasarano
Form54%46%
Att46%54%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Potenza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Potenza = 2.79 (league 1.55), Casarano = 1.15 (league 1.09)

Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.4% 6.3% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.6% 8.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 7.0% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.9% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.7% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 13.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1