Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.55) 0.48 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.9% 25.9% 11.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.9%
2 - 0
15.5%
0 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Salernitana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benevento 0 14.1% 6.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 9.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 7.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.7% 3.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBeneventoSalernitana
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack53%33%
Defense67%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Benevento Salernitana
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins86%38%60%63%57%60%
Draws14%13%13%25%29%27%
Loses0%50%27%13%14%13%

Form: Benevento: WWLWWDWLWWLDWWL • Salernitana: WWWWWLDWWLWDDWD

League goals

Metric Benevento Salernitana
HATHAT
GF total16112712921
GF avg2.31.41.81.51.31.4
GA total38118715
GA avg0.41.00.71.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBeneventoSalernitana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%80%67%
1.567%13%53%27%
2.527%0%7%7%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBeneventoSalernitana
HATHAT
Clean sheets426325
Failed to score033123

Penalties

MetricBeneventoSalernitana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricBeneventoSalernitana
Wins25
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-21-2
Biggest losses—2-12-32-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricBeneventoSalernitana
Form44%56%
Att62%38%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h85%15%
Goals82%18%
Total64.5%35.7%

Advice: Double chance : Benevento or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Benevento = 1.48 (league 1.55), Salernitana = 0.48 (league 1.09)

Salernitana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benevento 0 14.1% 6.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 9.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 7.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.7% 3.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.9% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 11.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1