Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Arechi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.55) 0.82 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.6% 31.6% 27.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
0 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Trapani 1905
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 15.2% 12.5% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.1% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.6% 7.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalernitanaTrapani 1905
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack31%69%
Defense46%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salernitana Trapani 1905
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%50%56%63%38%50%
Draws25%25%25%38%25%31%
Loses13%25%19%0%38%19%

Form: Salernitana: WWWWWLDWWLWDDWDL • Trapani 1905: DWWWDDLDWLWWWLWD

League goals

Metric Salernitana Trapani 1905
HATHAT
GF total12102218725
GF avg1.51.31.42.30.91.6
GA total812206915
GA avg1.01.51.30.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalernitanaTrapani 1905
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%69%81%75%
1.550%31%44%19%
2.56%13%13%0%
3.50%6%6%0%
4.50%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalernitanaTrapani 1905
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score123033

Penalties

MetricSalernitanaTrapani 1905
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricSalernitanaTrapani 1905
Wins53
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-26-01-2
Biggest losses2-35-1—2-0
Goals For3262
Goals Against3512

Model comparison

MetricSalernitanaTrapani 1905
Form38%63%
Att31%69%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total43.5%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Trapani 1905

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.64 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Salernitana = 1.06 (league 1.55), Trapani 1905 = 0.82 (league 1.09)

Trapani 1905
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 15.2% 12.5% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.1% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.6% 7.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 27.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1