Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.23 (league 1.53) 1.33 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.0% 8.3% 6.3%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.8%
3 - 1
6.5%
5 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
AZ Picerno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosenza 0 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.6% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
2 3.4% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.9% 6.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.1% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 4.4% 5.8% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCosenzaAZ Picerno
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack69%46%
Defense62%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cosenza AZ Picerno
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins71%33%50%13%25%19%
Draws0%56%31%38%13%25%
Loses29%11%19%50%63%56%

Form: Cosenza: DLDWDWWWLDWDWWWL • AZ Picerno: DDWLLDWLLLLDLLWL

League goals

Metric Cosenza AZ Picerno
HATHAT
GF total191130101020
GF avg2.71.21.91.31.31.3
GA total8917141933
GA avg1.11.01.11.82.42.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCosenzaAZ Picerno
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%75%75%94%
1.550%31%50%75%
2.525%0%0%19%
3.519%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCosenzaAZ Picerno
HATHAT
Clean sheets134011
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricCosenzaAZ Picerno
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricCosenzaAZ Picerno
Wins31
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-10-2
Biggest losses1-22-10-26-2
Goals For4222
Goals Against2226

Model comparison

MetricCosenzaAZ Picerno
Form71%29%
Att60%40%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total66.5%33.5%

Advice: Winner : Cosenza

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw4.40 @ Pinnacle
Away7.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cosenza = 4.23 (league 1.53), AZ Picerno = 1.33 (league 1.08)

AZ Picerno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosenza 0 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.6% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
2 3.4% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.9% 6.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.1% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 4.4% 5.8% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.0% · Draw 8.3% · Away win 6.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1