Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Alberto Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.56) 1.07 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.6% 20.6% 18.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Latina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 4.3% 4.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 8.9% 9.5% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.3% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasertanaLatina
Played55
Form73%7%
Attack80%20%
Defense60%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casertana Latina
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins63%33%47%22%13%18%
Draws25%33%29%22%50%35%
Loses13%33%24%56%38%47%

Form: Casertana: WLWLDDWLWWLDDWWWD • Latina: WLLDLWDWDLDDLLLLD

League goals

Metric Casertana Latina
HATHAT
GF total1410243710
GF avg1.81.11.40.30.90.6
GA total10102071421
GA avg1.31.11.20.81.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasertanaLatina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%76%47%65%
1.535%35%12%29%
2.518%6%0%12%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasertanaLatina
HATHAT
Clean sheets224426
Failed to score112639

Penalties

MetricCasertanaLatina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCasertanaLatina
Wins31
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-21-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-00-26-0
Goals For3212
Goals Against3226

Model comparison

MetricCasertanaLatina
Form92%8%
Att80%20%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Casertana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away4.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casertana = 2.08 (league 1.56), Latina = 1.07 (league 1.09)

Latina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 4.3% 4.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 8.9% 9.5% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.3% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 18.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1