Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.53) 0.61 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.7% 31.2% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.8%
0 - 0
16.9%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 16.9% 10.2% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.8% 12.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.6% 7.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPotenzaCatania
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack80%60%
Defense20%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Potenza Catania
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins63%11%35%89%38%65%
Draws38%33%35%11%38%24%
Loses0%56%29%0%25%12%

Form: Potenza: WDLDWLWDDLLWLWDWD • Catania: WWWLDDDWWWWDWLWWW

League goals

Metric Potenza Catania
HATHAT
GF total14112520929
GF avg1.81.21.52.21.11.7
GA total52025088
GA avg0.62.21.50.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePotenzaCatania
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%82%24%
1.553%53%47%12%
2.524%24%18%6%
3.50%0%12%6%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPotenzaCatania
HATHAT
Clean sheets5059413
Failed to score235123

Penalties

MetricPotenzaCatania
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricPotenzaCatania
Wins14
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-36-00-3
Biggest losses—3-0—4-1
Goals For3363
Goals Against3304

Model comparison

MetricPotenzaCatania
Form40%60%
Att57%43%
Def11%89%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Catania

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.76 @ Pinnacle
Away1.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Potenza = 1.17 (league 1.53), Catania = 0.61 (league 1.09)

Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 16.9% 10.2% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.8% 12.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.6% 7.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.7% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 19.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1