Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.55) 1.32 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.6% 24.7% 32.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Potenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Monopoli 0 5.6% 7.4% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.6% 7.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.0% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.6% 4.7% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSS MonopoliPotenza
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack27%60%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SS Monopoli Potenza
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins22%44%33%56%11%33%
Draws44%22%33%44%33%39%
Loses33%33%33%0%56%28%

Form: SS Monopoli: DWLWWDLDLWWWDLLDDL • Potenza: WDLDWLWDDLLWLWDWDD

League goals

Metric SS Monopoli Potenza
HATHAT
GF total101020151126
GF avg1.11.11.11.71.21.4
GA total11122362026
GA avg1.21.31.30.72.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSS MonopoliPotenza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%78%72%72%
1.528%33%50%50%
2.511%11%22%22%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSS MonopoliPotenza
HATHAT
Clean sheets134505
Failed to score325235

Penalties

MetricSS MonopoliPotenza
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricSS MonopoliPotenza
Wins31
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-02-3
Biggest losses0-24-0—3-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricSS MonopoliPotenza
Form18%82%
Att31%69%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Potenza

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Unibet
Draw3.27 @ Pinnacle
Away3.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SS Monopoli = 1.56 (league 1.55), Potenza = 1.32 (league 1.09)

Potenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Monopoli 0 5.6% 7.4% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.6% 7.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.0% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.6% 4.7% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 32.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1