Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.55) 1.71 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.6% 22.0% 35.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
AZ Picerno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sorrento 0 2.9% 4.9% 4.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.3% 9.0% 7.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.1% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.0% 5.1% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.4% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSorrentoAZ Picerno
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack53%27%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sorrento AZ Picerno
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins0%44%22%11%22%17%
Draws67%22%44%33%11%22%
Loses33%33%33%56%67%61%

Form: Sorrento: DLLLDDWDWDDDLLLWDW • AZ Picerno: DDWLLDWLLLLDLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Sorrento AZ Picerno
HATHAT
GF total12921111021
GF avg1.31.01.21.21.11.2
GA total15924162036
GA avg1.71.01.31.82.22.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSorrentoAZ Picerno
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%72%72%94%
1.533%50%44%72%
2.56%11%0%17%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSorrentoAZ Picerno
HATHAT
Clean sheets235011
Failed to score224235

Penalties

MetricSorrentoAZ Picerno
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricSorrentoAZ Picerno
Wins11
Draws32
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-22-10-2
Biggest losses1-23-10-26-2
Goals For3222
Goals Against3326

Model comparison

MetricSorrentoAZ Picerno
Form70%30%
Att67%33%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h15%85%
Goals20%80%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AZ Picerno

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away3.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sorrento = 1.84 (league 1.55), AZ Picerno = 1.71 (league 1.09)

AZ Picerno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sorrento 0 2.9% 4.9% 4.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.3% 9.0% 7.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.1% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.0% 5.1% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.4% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 35.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1