Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Nicola De Simone
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.54) 1.55 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.3% 24.2% 39.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Salernitana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siracusa 0 4.9% 7.7% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.2% 11.2% 8.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.2% 8.1% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.5% 3.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSiracusaSalernitana
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack80%70%
Defense30%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Siracusa Salernitana
HATHAT
Played1091910919
Wins40%11%26%60%56%58%
Draws20%11%16%30%22%26%
Loses40%78%58%10%22%16%

Form: Siracusa: LLLLLWLLLLWLWWDLDDW • Salernitana: WWWWWLDWWLWDDWDLDWW

League goals

Metric Siracusa Salernitana
HATHAT
GF total16622151227
GF avg1.60.71.21.51.31.4
GA total131629101323
GA avg1.31.81.51.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSiracusaSalernitana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%95%84%74%
1.532%42%53%26%
2.516%16%5%11%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSiracusaSalernitana
HATHAT
Clean sheets101325
Failed to score347123

Penalties

MetricSiracusaSalernitana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricSiracusaSalernitana
Wins25
Draws22
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-21-2
Biggest losses0-33-12-35-1
Goals For4232
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricSiracusaSalernitana
Form43%57%
Att53%47%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total50.3%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Salernitana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Siracusa = 1.45 (league 1.54), Salernitana = 1.55 (league 1.09)

Salernitana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siracusa 0 4.9% 7.7% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.2% 11.2% 8.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.2% 8.1% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.5% 3.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.3% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 39.6%

vtt 2 , vtd1