Mon, Jan 5 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.53) 0.51 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.2% 18.7% 8.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.2%
1 - 0
16.1%
3 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benevento 0 8.0% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.1% 8.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 8.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.9% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBeneventoCrotone
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack100%40%
Defense70%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Benevento Crotone
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins89%50%68%50%33%42%
Draws11%10%11%10%33%21%
Loses0%40%21%40%33%37%

Form: Benevento: WWLWWDWLWWLDWWLWWWW • Crotone: LWDDWWLWWLLLDWLWLWD

League goals

Metric Benevento Crotone
HATHAT
GF total251641131326
GF avg2.81.62.21.31.41.4
GA total481271017
GA avg0.40.80.60.71.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBeneventoCrotone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%53%63%58%
1.568%11%42%26%
2.537%0%26%5%
3.521%0%5%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBeneventoCrotone
HATHAT
Clean sheets549538
Failed to score033347

Penalties

MetricBeneventoCrotone
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBeneventoCrotone
Wins22
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-43-00-4
Biggest losses—2-11-22-0
Goals For5434
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricBeneventoCrotone
Form63%37%
Att79%21%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h75%25%
Goals57%43%
Total69.2%31.0%

Advice: Winner : Benevento

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away5.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.89 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Benevento = 2.01 (league 1.53), Crotone = 0.51 (league 1.09)

Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benevento 0 8.0% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.1% 8.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 8.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.9% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.2% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 8.4%

Vtot 8 , Vtod8