Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Simonetta Lamberti
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.53) 1.01 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.2% 33.7% 43.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.2%
0 - 0
19.0%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cavese 0 19.0% 19.2% 9.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.4% 12.5% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaveseSorrento
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack45%73%
Defense18%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cavese Sorrento
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins22%20%21%0%44%21%
Draws33%30%32%70%22%47%
Loses44%50%47%30%33%32%

Form: Cavese: DLLDLLWLLWWDWDDLLDL • Sorrento: DLLLDDWDWDDDLLLWDWD

League goals

Metric Cavese Sorrento
HATHAT
GF total9122113922
GF avg1.01.21.11.31.01.2
GA total10162616925
GA avg1.11.61.41.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaveseSorrento
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%74%79%74%
1.537%47%32%47%
2.511%16%5%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaveseSorrento
HATHAT
Clean sheets235235
Failed to score437224

Penalties

MetricCaveseSorrento
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricCaveseSorrento
Wins21
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-3—1-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-23-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricCaveseSorrento
Form20%80%
Att38%62%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h88%13%
Goals80%20%
Total51.7%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sorrento

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ 10Bet
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away4.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cavese = 0.65 (league 1.53), Sorrento = 1.01 (league 1.09)

Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cavese 0 19.0% 19.2% 9.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.4% 12.5% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.2% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 43.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1