Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Angelo Massimino
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.53) 0.55 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.9% 15.8% 7.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.2%
1 - 0
13.3%
3 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cavese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 5.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.3% 7.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.2% 8.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.7% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCataniaCavese
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack58%33%
Defense83%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Catania Cavese
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins90%30%60%30%20%25%
Draws10%50%30%30%30%30%
Loses0%20%10%40%50%45%

Form: Catania: WWWLDDDWWWWDWLWWWDWD • Cavese: DLLDLLWLLWWDWDDLLDLW

League goals

Metric Catania Cavese
HATHAT
GF total221133101222
GF avg2.21.11.71.01.21.1
GA total01010101626
GA avg0.01.00.51.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCataniaCavese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%30%65%70%
1.545%10%35%45%
2.515%5%10%15%
3.510%5%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCataniaCavese
HATHAT
Clean sheets10414336
Failed to score123437

Penalties

MetricCataniaCavese
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricCataniaCavese
Wins42
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-33-01-3
Biggest losses—4-10-23-0
Goals For6333
Goals Against0423

Model comparison

MetricCataniaCavese
Form73%27%
Att64%36%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total75.0%25.0%

Advice: Double chance : Catania or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.10 @ Dafabet
Away7.95 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.71 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Catania = 2.30 (league 1.53), Cavese = 0.55 (league 1.08)

Cavese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 5.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.3% 7.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.2% 8.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.7% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.9% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 7.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1