Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Alberto Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.51) 1.79 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.1% 23.2% 54.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Benevento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 6.1% 10.9% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
1 6.2% 11.0% 9.8% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.1% 5.5% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasertanaBenevento
Played55
Form87%100%
Attack71%100%
Defense86%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 216 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casertana Benevento
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins67%45%55%90%50%70%
Draws22%27%25%10%10%10%
Loses11%27%20%0%40%20%

Form: Casertana: WLWLDDWLWWLDDWWWDWWW • Benevento: WWLWWDWLWWLDWWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Casertana Benevento
HATHAT
GF total171532271643
GF avg1.91.41.62.71.62.2
GA total1110215813
GA avg1.20.91.10.50.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasertanaBenevento
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%70%85%55%
1.545%30%70%10%
2.525%5%35%0%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasertanaBenevento
HATHAT
Clean sheets246549
Failed to score112033

Penalties

MetricCasertanaBenevento
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricCasertanaBenevento
Wins32
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-35-10-4
Biggest losses0-32-0—2-1
Goals For3354
Goals Against3212

Model comparison

MetricCasertanaBenevento
Form46%54%
Att38%62%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h15%85%
Goals29%71%
Total35.7%64.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Benevento

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.05 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Unibet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casertana = 1.01 (league 1.51), Benevento = 1.79 (league 1.08)

Benevento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 6.1% 10.9% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
1 6.2% 11.0% 9.8% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.1% 5.5% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.1% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 54.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1