Mon, Jan 19 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.51) 1.43 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.2% 23.2% 31.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosenza 0 4.2% 6.0% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.3% 10.4% 7.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.1% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.3% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCosenzaCrotone
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack33%33%
Defense67%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cosenza Crotone
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins70%27%48%45%30%38%
Draws0%64%33%9%30%19%
Loses30%9%19%45%40%43%

Form: Cosenza: DLDWDWWWLDWDWWWLWDWLD • Crotone: LWDDWWLWWLLLDWLWLWDLL

League goals

Metric Cosenza Crotone
HATHAT
GF total221234131427
GF avg2.21.11.61.21.41.3
GA total11102181220
GA avg1.10.91.00.71.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCosenzaCrotone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%62%62%
1.543%29%38%29%
2.519%0%24%5%
3.514%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCosenzaCrotone
HATHAT
Clean sheets246538
Failed to score123448

Penalties

MetricCosenzaCrotone
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCosenzaCrotone
Wins32
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-00-4
Biggest losses0-22-11-22-0
Goals For4234
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricCosenzaCrotone
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : Cosenza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.38 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cosenza = 1.74 (league 1.51), Crotone = 1.43 (league 1.08)

Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosenza 0 4.2% 6.0% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.3% 10.4% 7.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.1% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.3% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.2% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 31.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1