Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.52)
0.78 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.7% | 34.3% | 29.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
18.8%
1 - 0
16.7%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Casertana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Potenza | 0 | 18.8% | 14.7% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.7% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Potenza | Casertana |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 73% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Potenza | Casertana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 50% | 9% | 29% | 60% | 45% | 52% |
| Draws | 50% | 27% | 38% | 30% | 27% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 64% | 33% | 10% | 27% | 19% |
Form: Potenza: WDLDWLWDDLLWLWDWDDLDL • Casertana: WLWLDDWLWWLDDWWWDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Potenza | Casertana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 12 | 27 | 17 | 15 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 6 | 26 | 32 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Potenza | Casertana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 71% | 86% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 52% | 43% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 24% | 24% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Potenza | Casertana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Potenza | Casertana |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Potenza | Casertana |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Potenza | Casertana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 21% | 79% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 37.5% | 62.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Casertana
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Potenza = 0.89 (league 1.52), Casertana = 0.78 (league 1.07)
| Casertana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Potenza | 0 | 18.8% | 14.7% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.7% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.7% · Draw 34.3% · Away win 29.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1