Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Angelo Massimino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.50) 0.51 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.6% 28.8% 14.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.1%
0 - 0
16.0%
2 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Cosenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 16.0% 8.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.1% 10.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 7.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCataniaCosenza
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack62%23%
Defense77%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Catania Cosenza
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins91%36%64%64%27%45%
Draws9%45%27%0%64%32%
Loses0%18%9%36%9%23%

Form: Catania: WWWLDDDWWWWDWLWWWDWDWW • Cosenza: DLDWDWWWLDWDWWWLWDWLDL

League goals

Metric Catania Cosenza
HATHAT
GF total241337221234
GF avg2.21.21.72.01.11.5
GA total01111131023
GA avg0.01.00.51.20.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCataniaCosenza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%32%82%73%
1.550%9%41%32%
2.514%5%18%0%
3.59%5%14%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCataniaCosenza
HATHAT
Clean sheets11415246
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricCataniaCosenza
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricCataniaCosenza
Wins43
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-34-11-2
Biggest losses—4-10-22-1
Goals For6342
Goals Against0422

Model comparison

MetricCataniaCosenza
Form69%31%
Att73%27%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total57.3%42.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Catania or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away5.47 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.43 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Catania = 1.32 (league 1.50), Cosenza = 0.51 (league 1.07)

Cosenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 16.0% 8.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.1% 10.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 7.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.6% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 14.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1