Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Giuseppe Capozza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.51) 0.68 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.9% 31.7% 22.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.5%
0 - 0
16.6%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casarano 0 16.6% 11.2% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.4% 7.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasaranoSorrento
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack50%83%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casarano Sorrento
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins42%25%33%15%36%25%
Draws33%17%25%54%18%38%
Loses25%58%42%31%45%38%

Form: Casarano: DLWWWDDWWLLLLWWLDLWLLLDD • Sorrento: DLLLDDWDWDDDLLLWDWDLWLLW

League goals

Metric Casarano Sorrento
HATHAT
GF total15173218927
GF avg1.31.41.31.40.81.1
GA total112940201434
GA avg0.92.41.71.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasaranoSorrento
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%71%71%79%
1.538%46%33%46%
2.521%29%8%13%
3.50%13%0%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasaranoSorrento
HATHAT
Clean sheets617235
Failed to score336347

Penalties

MetricCasaranoSorrento
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricCasaranoSorrento
Wins31
Draws23
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-11-2
Biggest losses1-36-20-24-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3634

Model comparison

MetricCasaranoSorrento
Form25%75%
Att38%63%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h25%75%
Goals22%78%
Total37.3%62.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sorrento

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ 188Bet
Draw3.28 @ Pinnacle
Away4.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casarano = 1.12 (league 1.51), Sorrento = 0.68 (league 1.06)

Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casarano 0 16.6% 11.2% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.4% 7.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 22.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1