Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Ezio Scida
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.51) 0.60 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 32.1% 19.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.0%
0 - 0
17.9%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 17.9% 10.7% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 12.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.2% 6.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrotoneAtalanta II
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack100%100%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crotone Atalanta II
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins50%42%46%33%25%29%
Draws8%25%17%17%25%21%
Loses42%33%38%50%50%50%

Form: Crotone: LWDDWWLWWLLLDWLWLWDLLWWW • Atalanta II: LWDLLLLDWWWWLDWLDLLLWLDL

League goals

Metric Crotone Atalanta II
HATHAT
GF total151934241135
GF avg1.31.61.42.00.91.5
GA total81321181533
GA avg0.71.10.91.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrotoneAtalanta II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%58%63%88%
1.546%25%33%42%
2.525%4%21%4%
3.54%0%13%4%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrotoneAtalanta II
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410213
Failed to score448369

Penalties

MetricCrotoneAtalanta II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCrotoneAtalanta II
Wins24
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-46-22-4
Biggest losses1-22-03-42-0
Goals For3464
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricCrotoneAtalanta II
Form69%31%
Att57%43%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total65.0%35.0%

Advice: Double chance : Crotone or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.86 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crotone = 1.12 (league 1.51), Atalanta II = 0.60 (league 1.05)

Atalanta II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 17.9% 10.7% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 12.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.2% 6.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 19.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1