Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.51) 0.33 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.6% 20.2% 6.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.5%
2 - 0
19.2%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Siracusa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 12.0% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.5% 7.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.2% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPotenzaSiracusa
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack33%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Potenza Siracusa
HATHAT
Played111324131124
Wins55%8%29%38%9%25%
Draws45%23%33%15%9%13%
Loses0%69%38%46%82%63%

Form: Potenza: WDLDWLWDDLLWLWDWDDLDLWLL • Siracusa: LLLLLWLLLLWLWWDLDDWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Potenza Siracusa
HATHAT
GF total17122920828
GF avg1.50.91.21.50.71.2
GA total63036182038
GA avg0.52.31.51.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePotenzaSiracusa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%71%63%96%
1.542%54%33%42%
2.517%21%17%21%
3.50%4%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPotenzaSiracusa
HATHAT
Clean sheets707101
Failed to score369459

Penalties

MetricPotenzaSiracusa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricPotenzaSiracusa
Wins12
Draws22
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-34-11-2
Biggest losses—4-00-33-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricPotenzaSiracusa
Form57%43%
Att25%75%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h67%33%
Goals67%33%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Double chance : Potenza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Potenza = 1.79 (league 1.51), Siracusa = 0.33 (league 1.06)

Siracusa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 12.0% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.5% 7.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.2% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.6% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 6.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1