Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Arechi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.51) 1.19 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.5% 21.1% 21.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 3.9% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.0% 9.5% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.6% 6.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalernitanaCasarano
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack33%42%
Defense83%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salernitana Casarano
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins50%54%52%46%25%36%
Draws42%15%28%31%17%24%
Loses8%31%20%23%58%40%

Form: Salernitana: WWWWWLDWWLWDDWDLDWWLDWWDL • Casarano: DLWWWDDWWLLLLWWLDLWLLLDDW

League goals

Metric Salernitana Casarano
HATHAT
GF total161632171734
GF avg1.31.21.31.31.41.4
GA total111728112940
GA avg0.91.31.10.82.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalernitanaCasarano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%68%76%68%
1.544%24%40%44%
2.54%12%20%28%
3.50%4%0%12%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalernitanaCasarano
HATHAT
Clean sheets448718
Failed to score235336

Penalties

MetricSalernitanaCasarano
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricSalernitanaCasarano
Wins53
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-23-00-3
Biggest losses2-35-11-36-2
Goals For3233
Goals Against3536

Model comparison

MetricSalernitanaCasarano
Form62%38%
Att44%56%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Salernitana or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.51 @ 1xBet
Draw4.20 @ Unibet
Away7.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Salernitana = 2.06 (league 1.51), Casarano = 1.19 (league 1.06)

Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 3.9% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.0% 9.5% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.6% 6.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.5% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 21.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1