Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Alberto Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.51) 1.82 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.8% 23.0% 50.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 4.7% 8.6% 7.8% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8%
1 5.8% 10.6% 9.6% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.6% 6.5% 5.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.5% 2.7% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasertanaCrotone
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack27%53%
Defense47%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casertana Crotone
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins58%38%48%54%42%48%
Draws25%23%24%8%25%16%
Loses17%38%28%38%33%36%

Form: Casertana: WLWLDDWLWWLDDWWWDWWWDLLLW • Crotone: LWDDWWLWWLLLDWLWLWDLLWWWW

League goals

Metric Casertana Crotone
HATHAT
GF total201636161935
GF avg1.71.21.41.21.61.4
GA total14152981321
GA avg1.21.21.20.61.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasertanaCrotone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%72%68%56%
1.540%36%44%24%
2.524%8%24%4%
3.50%0%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasertanaCrotone
HATHAT
Clean sheets3477411
Failed to score325448

Penalties

MetricCasertanaCrotone
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricCasertanaCrotone
Wins32
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-00-4
Biggest losses0-33-11-22-0
Goals For3334
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricCasertanaCrotone
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h85%15%
Goals70%30%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Crotone

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.96 @ 188Bet
Away3.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ 888Sport
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casertana = 1.23 (league 1.51), Crotone = 1.82 (league 1.06)

Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 4.7% 8.6% 7.8% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8%
1 5.8% 10.6% 9.6% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.6% 6.5% 5.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.5% 2.7% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 50.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1