Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Nicola De Simone
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.51) 1.58 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.6% 24.8% 45.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siracusa 0 6.2% 9.9% 7.8% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.4% 11.8% 9.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.4% 7.0% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSiracusaCatania
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack38%54%
Defense23%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Siracusa Catania
HATHAT
Played131326131225
Wins38%8%23%85%33%60%
Draws15%15%15%15%42%28%
Loses46%77%62%0%25%12%

Form: Siracusa: LLLLLWLLLLWLWWDLDDWWLLLLDL • Catania: WWWLDDDWWWWDWLWWWDWDWWWLD

League goals

Metric Siracusa Catania
HATHAT
GF total201030261440
GF avg1.50.81.22.01.21.6
GA total18234101414
GA avg1.41.81.60.01.20.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSiracusaCatania
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%96%84%32%
1.535%42%48%12%
2.515%19%12%8%
3.54%0%8%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSiracusaCatania
HATHAT
Clean sheets10113417
Failed to score4610224

Penalties

MetricSiracusaCatania
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricSiracusaCatania
Wins24
Draws23
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-26-00-3
Biggest losses0-33-1—4-1
Goals For4263
Goals Against3304

Model comparison

MetricSiracusaCatania
Form9%91%
Att42%58%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h20%80%
Goals30%70%
Total29.0%71.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Catania

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.60 @ 10Bet
Draw3.87 @ Pinnacle
Away1.64 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Siracusa = 1.19 (league 1.51), Catania = 1.58 (league 1.06)

Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siracusa 0 6.2% 9.9% 7.8% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.4% 11.8% 9.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.4% 7.0% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.6% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 45.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1