Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Simonetta Lamberti
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.51) 1.13 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.6% 30.5% 41.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.4%
0 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Salernitana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cavese 0 13.6% 15.4% 8.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.3% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.1% 5.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaveseSalernitana
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack20%47%
Defense80%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cavese Salernitana
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins31%15%23%54%54%54%
Draws31%38%35%38%15%27%
Loses38%46%42%8%31%19%

Form: Cavese: DLLDLLWLLWWDWDDLLDLWLLDDDW • Salernitana: WWWWWLDWWLWDDWDLDWWLDWWDLW

League goals

Metric Cavese Salernitana
HATHAT
GF total131225191635
GF avg1.00.91.01.51.21.3
GA total131831111728
GA avg1.01.41.20.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaveseSalernitana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%65%81%65%
1.527%42%46%23%
2.58%12%8%12%
3.50%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaveseSalernitana
HATHAT
Clean sheets459549
Failed to score4610235

Penalties

MetricCaveseSalernitana
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricCaveseSalernitana
Wins25
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-02-35-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricCaveseSalernitana
Form38%63%
Att30%70%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h0%100%
Goals40%60%
Total38.4%61.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Salernitana and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away1.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cavese = 0.86 (league 1.51), Salernitana = 1.13 (league 1.06)

Salernitana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cavese 0 13.6% 15.4% 8.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.3% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.1% 5.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.6% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 41.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1