Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.51) 0.83 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.4% 32.0% 28.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
0 - 0
15.5%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Monopoli 0 15.5% 12.9% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.0% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.3% 6.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSS MonopoliSorrento
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack13%27%
Defense67%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SS Monopoli Sorrento
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins38%38%38%21%33%27%
Draws31%23%27%50%17%35%
Loses31%38%35%29%50%38%

Form: SS Monopoli: DWLWWDLDLWWWDLLDDLWWWLDWLL • Sorrento: DLLLDDWDWDDDLLLWDWDLWLLWLW

League goals

Metric SS Monopoli Sorrento
HATHAT
GF total15122719928
GF avg1.20.91.01.40.81.1
GA total141529201636
GA avg1.11.21.11.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSS MonopoliSorrento
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%69%77%
1.527%31%31%46%
2.58%8%8%12%
3.50%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSS MonopoliSorrento
HATHAT
Clean sheets358336
Failed to score358358

Penalties

MetricSS MonopoliSorrento
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricSS MonopoliSorrento
Wins31
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-11-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-24-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricSS MonopoliSorrento
Form40%60%
Att33%67%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sorrento and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ SBO
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away4.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.67 @ Betano
Under 2.51.53 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.41 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SS Monopoli = 1.03 (league 1.51), Sorrento = 0.83 (league 1.06)

Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Monopoli 0 15.5% 12.9% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.0% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.3% 6.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.4% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 28.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1