Fri, Feb 20 2026 • 19:30 •
Stadio Domenico Monterisi
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.49)
1.63 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | 20.5% | 28.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Casarano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Audace Cerignola | 0 | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Audace Cerignola | Casarano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 29% | 57% |
| Defense | 71% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Audace Cerignola | Casarano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 31% | 43% | 37% | 50% | 23% | 37% |
| Draws | 38% | 29% | 33% | 29% | 15% | 22% |
| Loses | 31% | 29% | 30% | 21% | 62% | 41% |
Audace CerignolaDDWLDWDLLLLLWWWWDDLDWWDWWDL
CasaranoDLWWWDDWWLLLLWWLDLWLLLDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Audace Cerignola | Casarano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 15 | 32 | 20 | 17 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 17 | 16 | 33 | 13 | 32 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Audace Cerignola | Casarano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 59% | 74% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 37% | 41% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 19% | 22% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 7% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Audace Cerignola | Casarano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Audace Cerignola | Casarano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Audace Cerignola | Casarano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Audace Cerignola | Casarano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 51.5% | 48.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.77 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Betway
Away4.50 @ Fonbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Unibet
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League standings
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