Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 11:30 • Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.51) 1.08 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.1% 30.0% 36.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Benevento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 12.4% 13.4% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.5% 13.5% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.3% 6.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPotenzaBenevento
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack73%100%
Defense45%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Potenza Benevento
HATHAT
Played131528141428
Wins54%13%32%86%57%71%
Draws46%27%36%14%14%14%
Loses0%60%32%0%29%14%

Form: Potenza: WDLDWLWDDLLWLWDWDDLDLWLLDDWW • Benevento: WWLWWDWLWWLDWWLWWWWWDWWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Potenza Benevento
HATHAT
GF total221537352762
GF avg1.71.01.32.51.92.2
GA total8324081220
GA avg0.62.11.40.60.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePotenzaBenevento
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%68%86%54%
1.546%54%68%14%
2.518%18%39%4%
3.50%4%21%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPotenzaBenevento
HATHAT
Clean sheets8197613
Failed to score369044

Penalties

MetricPotenzaBenevento
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricPotenzaBenevento
Wins15
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-35-10-5
Biggest losses—4-0—2-1
Goals For3355
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricPotenzaBenevento
Form38%62%
Att38%62%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Benevento

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.89 @ Pinnacle
Away1.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Potenza = 1.01 (league 1.51), Benevento = 1.08 (league 1.06)

Benevento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 12.4% 13.4% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.5% 13.5% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.3% 6.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.1% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 36.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1