Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Arechi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.51) 1.02 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.3% 29.6% 32.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
13.2%
0 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 11.9% 12.1% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.5% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.3% 7.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalernitanaCatania
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack45%64%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salernitana Catania
HATHAT
Played141428151328
Wins50%50%50%87%31%61%
Draws36%21%29%13%46%29%
Loses14%29%21%0%23%11%

Form: Salernitana: WWWWWLDWWLWDDWDLDWWLDWWDLWDL • Catania: WWWLDDDWWWWDWLWWWDWDWWWLDDWW

League goals

Metric Salernitana Catania
HATHAT
GF total191736311546
GF avg1.41.21.32.11.21.6
GA total12183001515
GA avg0.91.31.10.01.20.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalernitanaCatania
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%68%86%32%
1.543%21%46%11%
2.57%11%14%7%
3.50%4%11%4%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalernitanaCatania
HATHAT
Clean sheets54915419
Failed to score336224

Penalties

MetricSalernitanaCatania
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricSalernitanaCatania
Wins54
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-26-00-3
Biggest losses2-35-1—4-1
Goals For3263
Goals Against3504

Model comparison

MetricSalernitanaCatania
Form38%62%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total45.8%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Catania

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Unibet
Away2.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Salernitana = 1.11 (league 1.51), Catania = 1.02 (league 1.06)

Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 11.9% 12.1% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.5% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.3% 7.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 32.9%

vtt 3 , vtd3