Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.51) 0.66 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.9% 22.0% 13.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosenza 0 8.5% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.3% 10.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.1% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.3% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCosenzaSorrento
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack70%60%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cosenza Sorrento
HATHAT
Played141428151328
Wins71%21%46%27%31%29%
Draws0%57%29%47%15%32%
Loses29%21%25%27%54%39%

Form: Cosenza: DLDWDWWWLDWDWWWLWDWLDLLWLWWD • Sorrento: DLLLDDWDWDDDLLLWDWDLWLLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Cosenza Sorrento
HATHAT
GF total29124121930
GF avg2.10.91.51.40.71.1
GA total141529201737
GA avg1.01.11.01.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCosenzaSorrento
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%68%68%75%
1.539%32%32%43%
2.521%4%7%11%
3.511%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCosenzaSorrento
HATHAT
Clean sheets459437
Failed to score257369

Penalties

MetricCosenzaSorrento
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricCosenzaSorrento
Wins31
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-11-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-24-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricCosenzaSorrento
Form53%47%
Att54%46%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Cosenza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away5.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cosenza = 1.81 (league 1.51), Sorrento = 0.66 (league 1.06)

Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosenza 0 8.5% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.3% 10.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.1% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.3% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.9% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 13.0%

vtt 3 , vtd2