Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 11:30 • Stadio Nicola De Simone
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.51) 1.72 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.5% 23.6% 46.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Casertana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siracusa 0 4.9% 8.5% 7.3% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.3% 10.9% 9.4% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.1% 7.0% 6.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.8% 3.0% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSiracusaCasertana
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack36%91%
Defense18%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Siracusa Casertana
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins36%7%21%57%36%46%
Draws21%14%18%29%21%25%
Loses43%79%61%14%43%29%

Form: Siracusa: LLLLLWLLLLWLWWDLDDWWLLLLDLDL • Casertana: WLWLDDWLWWLDDWWWDWWWDLLLWDLW

League goals

Metric Siracusa Casertana
HATHAT
GF total211031241842
GF avg1.50.71.11.71.31.5
GA total192544171835
GA avg1.41.81.61.21.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSiracusaCasertana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%96%82%75%
1.532%43%46%39%
2.514%18%21%11%
3.54%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSiracusaCasertana
HATHAT
Clean sheets101347
Failed to score4711325

Penalties

MetricSiracusaCasertana
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricSiracusaCasertana
Wins23
Draws22
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-10-3
Biggest losses0-33-10-33-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricSiracusaCasertana
Form22%78%
Att29%71%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total35.3%64.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Casertana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.97 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Siracusa = 1.29 (league 1.51), Casertana = 1.72 (league 1.06)

Casertana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siracusa 0 4.9% 8.5% 7.3% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.3% 10.9% 9.4% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.1% 7.0% 6.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.8% 3.0% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.5% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 46.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1