Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 17:00 • Stadio Domenico Francioni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.51) 0.53 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.7% 44.5% 26.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.8%
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
17.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Latina 0 33.8% 17.9% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 9.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLatinaSorrento
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack15%38%
Defense69%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Latina Sorrento
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins29%13%21%27%29%28%
Draws29%47%38%47%14%31%
Loses43%40%41%27%57%41%

Form: Latina: WLLDLWDWDLDDLLLLDLDWWDWLDLDLD • Sorrento: DLLLDDWDWDDDLLLWDWDLWLLWLWLWL

League goals

Metric Latina Sorrento
HATHAT
GF total81220211132
GF avg0.60.80.71.40.81.1
GA total102232202040
GA avg0.71.51.11.31.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLatinaSorrento
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%69%69%76%
1.517%21%34%45%
2.50%10%7%14%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLatinaSorrento
HATHAT
Clean sheets639437
Failed to score8614369

Penalties

MetricLatinaSorrento
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricLatinaSorrento
Wins21
Draws23
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-11-2
Biggest losses0-26-00-24-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against2634

Model comparison

MetricLatinaSorrento
Form33%67%
Att29%71%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sorrento and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Unibet
Away3.65 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Latina = 0.56 (league 1.51), Sorrento = 0.53 (league 1.06)

Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Latina 0 33.8% 17.9% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 9.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 44.5% · Away win 26.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1