Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.51) 0.51 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 31.6% 16.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.8%
0 - 0
18.7%
2 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cosenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 18.7% 9.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.8% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 6.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPotenzaCosenza
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack62%54%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Potenza Cosenza
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins50%13%31%73%21%48%
Draws43%27%34%0%57%28%
Loses7%60%34%27%21%24%

Form: Potenza: WDLDWLWDDLLWLWDWDDLDLWLLDDWWL • Cosenza: DLDWDWWWLDWDWWWLWDWLDLLWLWWDW

League goals

Metric Potenza Cosenza
HATHAT
GF total221537321244
GF avg1.61.01.32.10.91.5
GA total93241161531
GA avg0.62.11.41.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePotenzaCosenza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%69%76%69%
1.545%52%41%34%
2.517%17%24%3%
3.50%3%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPotenzaCosenza
HATHAT
Clean sheets819459
Failed to score4610257

Penalties

MetricPotenzaCosenza
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricPotenzaCosenza
Wins23
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-34-11-2
Biggest losses0-14-00-23-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricPotenzaCosenza
Form44%56%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total53.8%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cosenza

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away2.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Potenza = 1.17 (league 1.51), Cosenza = 0.51 (league 1.06)

Cosenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 18.7% 9.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.8% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 6.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 16.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1