Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 19:30 •
Stadio Ezio Scida
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.51)
0.51 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.0% | 29.2% | 14.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.3%
0 - 0
16.4%
2 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Cavese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Crotone | 0 | 16.4% | 8.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Crotone | Cavese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 62% | 31% |
| Defense | 46% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Crotone | Cavese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 57% | 33% | 45% | 33% | 14% | 24% |
| Draws | 7% | 33% | 21% | 33% | 36% | 34% |
| Loses | 36% | 33% | 34% | 33% | 50% | 41% |
Form: Crotone: LWDDWWLWWLLLDWLWLWDLLWWWWDLWD • Cavese: DLLDLLWLLWWDWDDLLDLWLLDDDWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Crotone | Cavese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 23 | 42 | 16 | 12 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 9 | 19 | 28 | 14 | 20 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Crotone | Cavese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 62% | 62% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 28% | 28% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 7% | 7% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Crotone | Cavese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Crotone | Cavese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Crotone | Cavese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Crotone | Cavese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 44.0% | 56.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Cavese
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Crotone = 1.30 (league 1.51), Cavese = 0.51 (league 1.06)
| Cavese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Crotone | 0 | 16.4% | 8.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.0% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 14.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1